Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 90.455685 103.250607 118.223961 137.310105 161.397240 1.913695e+02 232.471275
2024-10-20 73.615837 89.621635 110.379397 140.273321 184.109174 2.496145e+02 363.440419
2024-10-27 62.560330 79.147711 102.063406 137.813937 196.117347 2.966432e+02 512.632178
2024-11-03 58.092658 76.102030 102.484824 146.980531 228.018527 3.924299e+02 859.671635
2024-11-10 56.950365 77.299444 108.987708 167.193308 287.892743 5.910407e+02 1950.053582
2024-11-17 52.275142 72.355526 104.717834 167.209128 307.712613 7.168337e+02 3475.504729
2024-11-24 48.137941 67.656275 99.979744 164.987870 321.554223 8.441628e+02 6603.776566
2024-12-01 44.540635 63.381768 95.286379 161.676851 331.427364 9.756307e+02 14459.920115
2024-12-08 41.917041 60.410516 92.455202 161.578744 350.271558 1.184254e+03 65472.144483
2024-12-15 39.715857 57.912637 90.125950 162.030726 371.424268 1.463105e+03 NaN
2024-12-22 37.000521 54.289806 85.249113 155.650293 368.214021 1.592787e+03 NaN
2024-12-29 35.957851 53.473355 85.629174 161.822729 411.767026 2.267586e+03 NaN
2025-01-05 33.164589 49.569638 79.972957 153.167230 401.356558 2.464304e+03 NaN
2025-01-12 31.776305 48.102508 79.092676 156.813633 444.686897 3.817589e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 29.969509 45.709126 76.014298 153.926256 459.094458 5.091344e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 29.449265 45.625260 77.720033 164.771579 552.006051 1.350946e+04 NaN
2025-02-02 29.782405 47.167464 83.169557 188.888915 767.927124 1.022315e+06 NaN
2025-02-09 28.521432 45.503630 81.184501 188.907923 827.488257 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 27.227306 43.673250 78.597682 186.244012 864.871819 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 25.977986 41.844582 75.821315 182.279312 888.095910 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 25.033620 40.563011 74.213750 182.161949 953.582233 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 24.196021 39.439091 72.865481 182.702699 1033.086305 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 23.035343 37.586325 69.562080 175.082006 1004.075650 NaN NaN